Check historical price trends and seasonality for CAC 40 Index (^FCHI).
CAC 40 Index (^FCHI) average YTD return over the past 10 years is +6.56%.
Over the past 10 years, the return for the specified period (Mar 4 for 60 days) is -0.33%.
3 wins 4 losses with a win rate of 42.86%.
1) Overview:
The CAC 40 index exhibits a strong upward tendency from late February through early June, followed by a period of consolidation. The index tends to rally significantly from February 15, gaining +3.0% by February 23. The bullish trend continues through spring, peaking in early June, around June 7, with an average gain of +3.8%. The index then consolidates through the summer and early fall, before experiencing a powerful rally from early November through the end of the year, culminating in gains of +6.7% by December 29 and +6.5% by December 31.
2) Buy-the-dip points:
A potential pullback period occurs around March 23, where the index shows a slight dip of -0.3%, presenting a possible buying opportunity before the continuation of the spring rally. Another potential buying opportunity may arise during the summer consolidation period, as the index prepares for its significant year-end rally. These pullbacks could be attributed to profit-taking or market uncertainty, but historically, they have been followed by renewed upward momentum.
3) Summary:
Based on the 10-year average seasonality, a strategic approach to investing in the CAC 40 index would involve considering entry points around March 23, following the small dip, to capitalize on the subsequent spring rally. The most significant opportunity appears to be accumulating positions from early November through December, to take advantage of the strong year-end surge. Investors should be aware of potential short-term pullbacks and use them as opportunities to add to their positions.
| Year | Start Date | Start Price | End Date | End Price | Return | Rate (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-03-04 | 8,047.9199 | 2025-05-02 | 7,770.4800 | -277.4399 | -3.45 |
| 2024 | 2024-03-04 | 7,956.4102 | 2024-05-02 | 7,914.6499 | -41.7603 | -0.52 |
| 2022 | 2022-03-04 | 6,061.6602 | 2022-05-02 | 6,425.6099 | 363.9497 | 6.00 |
| 2021 | 2021-03-04 | 5,830.6499 | 2021-05-02 | 6,269.4800 | 438.8301 | 7.53 |
| 2020 | 2020-03-04 | 5,464.8901 | 2020-05-02 | 4,572.1802 | -892.7099 | -16.34 |
| 2019 | 2019-03-04 | 5,286.5698 | 2019-05-02 | 5,538.8599 | 252.2901 | 4.77 |
| 2016 | 2016-03-04 | 4,456.6201 | 2016-05-02 | 4,442.7500 | -13.8701 | -0.31 |
| Avg | 6,157.8172 | 6,133.4300 | -24.39 | -0.33 |
| Day \ Month | Jan Total +1.16% | Feb Total +0.31% | Mar Total -0.28% | Apr Total +1.86% | May Total -0.48% | Jun Total -0.93% | Jul Total +1.86% | Aug Total -0.47% | Sep Total -0.05% | Oct Total +0.29% | Nov Total +2.98% | Dec Total +0.95% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Avg +0.04% | 0.00% | +0.21% | +0.05% | -0.26% | 0.00% | +0.31% | +0.31% | -0.60% | +0.01% | -0.07% | +0.31% | +0.25% |
| 2 Avg +0.01% | +0.20% | -0.07% | +0.11% | -0.05% | -0.13% | +0.57% | +0.24% | -0.88% | +0.62% | -0.32% | +0.26% | -0.44% |
| 3 Avg +0.03% | -0.22% | -0.20% | +0.20% | -0.44% | +0.03% | +0.30% | +0.34% | +0.35% | -0.20% | -0.03% | +0.20% | -0.02% |
| 4 Avg +0.08% | +0.59% | +0.21% | -0.39% | -0.31% | -0.67% | +0.03% | -0.10% | +0.51% | -0.29% | +0.49% | +0.50% | +0.33% |
| 5 Avg +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.11% | -0.07% | -0.23% | +0.51% | +0.30% | -0.47% | -0.15% | -0.36% | +0.07% | +0.29% | -0.02% |
| 6 Avg -0.09% | +0.16% | -0.18% | -0.38% | +0.40% | -0.41% | +0.07% | -0.28% | -0.07% | -0.10% | -0.27% | -0.32% | +0.25% |
| 7 Avg +0.10% | -0.12% | -0.07% | -0.27% | -0.39% | +0.07% | +0.17% | +0.26% | +0.45% | +0.26% | +0.06% | +0.33% | +0.40% |
| 8 Avg +0.04% | +0.07% | -0.41% | +0.15% | +0.65% | +0.21% | -0.14% | -0.12% | +0.26% | -0.11% | -0.19% | 0.00% | +0.12% |
| 9 Avg +0.05% | +0.21% | +0.04% | +0.03% | -0.33% | -0.29% | -0.34% | +0.09% | -0.09% | +0.28% | +0.17% | +0.83% | +0.02% |
| 10 Avg -0.07% | -0.34% | +0.02% | -0.69% | +0.43% | +0.13% | -0.69% | +0.36% | 0.00% | -0.04% | 0.00% | +0.31% | -0.30% |
| 11 Avg +0.03% | -0.08% | -0.33% | +0.35% | +0.07% | -0.13% | -0.47% | -0.02% | +0.16% | +0.33% | -0.07% | +0.29% | +0.21% |
| 12 Avg +0.11% | +0.39% | +0.67% | -1.05% | +0.12% | +0.05% | -0.03% | +0.86% | +0.14% | +0.30% | -0.10% | -0.32% | +0.25% |
| 13 Avg +0.02% | +0.16% | +0.26% | -0.09% | +0.44% | -0.06% | -0.66% | +0.23% | +0.15% | -0.21% | -0.13% | +0.06% | +0.11% |
| 14 Avg +0.04% | -0.24% | -0.07% | +0.55% | +0.49% | +0.11% | -0.45% | -0.14% | -0.09% | +0.10% | +0.33% | +0.14% | -0.23% |
| 15 Avg +0.06% | -0.34% | +1.19% | -0.28% | -0.23% | +0.16% | +0.07% | +0.12% | -0.07% | 0.00% | +0.05% | +0.11% | -0.07% |
| 16 Avg +0.09% | +0.21% | +0.15% | +0.09% | -0.04% | +0.06% | +0.32% | -0.20% | +0.17% | -0.37% | +0.49% | +0.07% | +0.09% |
| 17 Avg +0.04% | +0.11% | +0.19% | +0.22% | +0.45% | -0.05% | +0.26% | -0.09% | -0.36% | -0.12% | +0.15% | +0.04% | -0.27% |
| 18 Avg -0.04% | +0.15% | -0.07% | -0.48% | +0.05% | +0.42% | -0.05% | +0.02% | -0.20% | -0.16% | -0.04% | -0.11% | +0.05% |
| 19 Avg -0.05% | +0.03% | -0.05% | +0.21% | +0.13% | -0.32% | -0.27% | -0.17% | -0.04% | +0.49% | -0.16% | -0.31% | -0.10% |
| 20 Avg +0.09% | -0.18% | +0.08% | +0.43% | +0.22% | +0.37% | +0.53% | +0.23% | -0.09% | -0.24% | +0.04% | -0.06% | -0.23% |
| 21 Avg -0.04% | -0.07% | -0.16% | -0.08% | -0.17% | -0.06% | -0.07% | +0.10% | +0.20% | -0.12% | -0.29% | +0.17% | +0.11% |
| 22 Avg +0.03% | +0.32% | +0.35% | -0.29% | +0.07% | -0.15% | -0.03% | 0.00% | -0.08% | +0.09% | -0.04% | +0.09% | +0.09% |
| 23 Avg -0.03% | -0.06% | -0.03% | -0.56% | +0.44% | -0.50% | +0.03% | +0.29% | +0.06% | -0.16% | -0.01% | -0.01% | +0.17% |
| 24 Avg -0.09% | -0.14% | -1.29% | +0.37% | +0.27% | -0.04% | -0.46% | -0.21% | +0.25% | -0.14% | +0.31% | +0.20% | -0.17% |
| 25 Avg +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.34% | +0.54% | -0.43% | +0.32% | -0.25% | -0.06% | -0.21% | -0.35% | +0.35% | +0.24% | 0.00% |
| 26 Avg +0.14% | +0.78% | +0.16% | +0.29% | +0.06% | +0.64% | -0.03% | +0.19% | -0.13% | +0.19% | -0.10% | -0.38% | 0.00% |
| 27 Avg +0.03% | -0.35% | -0.24% | -0.28% | +0.40% | +0.50% | -0.11% | +0.34% | +0.12% | +0.14% | -0.30% | -0.13% | +0.23% |
| 28 Avg +0.01% | -0.10% | -0.48% | +0.05% | +0.34% | +0.01% | +0.12% | +0.03% | +0.07% | +0.12% | -0.12% | -0.07% | +0.19% |
| 29 Avg +0.10% | +0.11% | - | +0.80% | -0.06% | -0.65% | +0.20% | +0.27% | +0.04% | +0.04% | +0.02% | +0.30% | +0.06% |
| 30 Avg -0.07% | -0.13% | - | +0.43% | -0.24% | -0.02% | -0.17% | -0.40% | +0.10% | -0.08% | -0.04% | -0.05% | -0.19% |
| 31 Avg -0.21% | -0.10% | - | -0.26% | - | -0.56% | - | -0.18% | -0.44% | - | +0.03% | - | +0.06% |
| Rank | Stock | Avg Return (%) | Wins | Losses |
|---|
